1st May 2013 Selections

After another absolutely dire day yesterday, which has been pretty unbearable watching such well rated horses running so poorly, more often than not in fields they should be destroying, but I guess we all know and understand teh nature of racing.

Anyways, another day, another dollar.

Method 1 Selections

14:00	ascot	Far Gaze
16:10	ascot	Zanetto
16:55	Southwell	Midnight Macarena
17:30	Southwell	Starlight Air

Method 2 Selections:

Rockalong	16:45	Ascot
Goldshow	17:35	Ponte
Caulfields Venture	13:40	Southwell
callhimwhatyouwant	14:10	Southwell
Cross Of Honour(NAP)	14:40	Southwell
Earcomethedream	15:45	Southwell
Rash Move	17:05	Chelt
Coombe Hill	18:10	Chelt
Benedictus	20:20	Chelt

Results 30th April

Method 1: 

14:10	Yarm	Lilo lil	2nd		-1
14:40	Yarm	Clock Opera	4th		-1
15:20	Bath	Could Be	2nd		-1

Num Selections	4
Num Winners	0
Strike rate %	0
Profit/Loss (pts)	-6

Two pretty close 2nd's, but still not good enough. Very dissapointing results so far for Method 1.

Method 2:

Verse Of Love	15:00	Ling	6th		-1.00
Final Delivery	17:00	Ling	NR
Tahlia Ree	16:10	Yarm	3rd		-1.00
Laughing Jack	16:40	Yarm	2nd		-1.00
Brampour	18:15	Worcester	5th		-1.00
Polar Brook	19:15	Worcester	3rd		-1.00
Emilys Flyer	19:35	Exeter	1st	10/3	3.30

Num Selections	17
Num Winners	2
Strike rate %	11.76470588
Profit/Loss (pts)	-8.20

Emilys flyer brought an end to another awful day. I really can;t believe how badly it is going at the moment. I really have to stay positive and keep trying to make well balanced, rational decisons.

So it's on to day 3 and lets finally get this fucking monkey off our backs.

Selections 30th April 2013

Well it certainly can;t get any worse than yesterday! Going through all of todays cards and there are a hell of a lot of close races and not all that many horses that are clear enough on my ratings to make them our selections.

That said we do have a few for you today, so here goes:

METHOD 1

14:10	Yarm	Lilo lil
14:40	Yarm	Clock Opera
15:20	Bath	Could Be

Just a single point bet on each.

METHOD 2

Once again 1pt level stakes on each of these:

Verse Of Love	15:00	Ling
Final Delivery(NAP)	17:00	Ling
Tahlia Ree	16:10	Yarm
Laughing Jack	16:40	Yarm
Brampour	18:15	Worcester
Polar Brook	19:15	Worcester
Emilys Flyer	19:35	Exeter

My Lucky 15 selections for today will be:

Verso Of Love
Tahlia Ree
Laughing Jack
Emily Flyer

Very best of luck today whether you follow my selections or not!

29th April Results

Haha well that was a truly awful day and typically it would be the first day I start this!!

Some really solid horses just didn;t do it today, no idea what or why, but I guess that is why this is like poker in a way that you are looking to keep making good decisions and in the long run you should be able to even out the variance.

Results:

Method 1:

Ling

Little Choosey

3rd

-1

Num Selections	1
Num Winners	0
Strike rate %	0
Profit/Loss (pts)	-1

Method 2

Moss Hill	14:20	Wolv	2nd		-1.00
The Noble Ord	17:20	Wolv	6th		-1.00
Able Deputy	14:30	Tow	2nd		-1.00
Jameel	15:00	Tow	1st	9/2	3.50
One More Dinar	15:30	Tow	4th		-1.00
Twelve Roses	16:00	Tow	3rd		-1.00
Or De Grugy	15:40	Kelso	2nd		-1.00
Sleep in First	16:10	Kelso	5th		-1.00
Buckstruther	17:10	Kelso	2nd		-1.00
Hanseatic	19:10	Windsor	2nd		-1.00
Cousin Khee	19:40	Windsor	4th		-1.00

 

Num Selections	12
Num Winners	1
Strike rate %	8.333333333
Profit/Loss (pts)	-6.50

Very dissapointing start, but one good thing is that it can only get better from here!! At least the NAP, Jameel went in.

cheers, until tomorrow.....

Selections 29th April 2013

Method 1:

Little Choosey 17:55 Lingfield - 3pts win

Method 2:

(all based on 1pt win stakes)

Moss Hill	14:20	Wolv
The Noble Ord	17:20	Wolv
Able Deputy	14:30	Tow
Jameel	15:00	Tow
One More Dinar	15:30	Tow
Twelve Roses	16:00	Tow
Or De Grugy	15:40	Kelso
Sleep in First	16:10	Kelso
Buckstruther	17:10	Kelso
Hanseatic	19:10	Windsor
Cousin Khee	19:40	Windsor

From these I will be having a 0.5pt Lucky 15 bet with the following selections:

Jameel
Or De Grugy
One More Dinar
The Noble Ord

gl. I'll be updating through the day on my twitter feed @big_mikky

Hello!

Welcome to Mikkys Tips.

I am just starting this blog to post my tips each day and to track my progress over the long term. I have spent a lot of time around horse racing and studying different systems and tipsters, trying to find out what works and what doesn't and at the end of the day it comes down to being sensible and realising there is so much volatility in the horse racing game that you need to becareful.

How do I choose my nags?

I now pretty much stick to the two most successful systems that I personally have found. You will be able to see for yourself how it goes.

Method 1: Is a form based selection method. I have created a system, loosely based around other systems, that worked well for me and stuck with it.

Method 2: is again a rating system based around a whole lot of factors, I basically rate every horse in the race, based on certain factors I feel are important, each facotr carries a score. I then select the highest rated horse, as long as it is clear rated above the others by at least 50 points.

There are two types of races I never touch, Sellers and Claimers and one that I'll only touch on now and again and that is novice races.

Remember, horse racing is not about the short term, you need to find a sustainable ROI over the long term to be successful.

How Much to Bet?

Whatever your bankroll, whether it be £10000 or £50, split it into 100 parts. Each single part is known as 1 point. i.e. 10,000 = £100 for 1 point. £50 = 1 point 50p. etc etc. In reality when you are trying out any new system you should ideally just paper trade it first to figure out whether it's actually a viable system.

Where to bet?

Well thats upto you, but I highly reccomend a bookie who gives you Best Odds Guaranteed. This way you can get your bets on early and if the horse drifts out in price you will still get the SP and if the horse gets backed in you already have the best price. It's pretty much a win-win from a punting point of view.


Apart from all that I hope I can provide you with some decent winners! :)